Dose

Forecast Calculation

To predict dose accumulation, an estimate of its increase over a specific time interval is performed. The end of the interval is always linked to the current moment, while the beginning of the forecast interval can be calculated automatically by the program or set manually in the settings.

The concept of automatically calculating the prediction interval is to identify the longest time period during which the radiation situation remained stable, meaning the change in the slope of the dose graph was minimal. In other words, locate the inflection point of the graph as far from the current moment as possible, and use the dose increase within the calculated interval as a forecast. The following algorithm is applied:

  1. The TF forecast interval is set to 2 minutes.
  2. The TD dose accumulated over the TF interval is calculated. The end of the interval coincides with the current time.
  3. The D2 dose accumulated in the 2 minutes before the start of the TF interval is calculated.
  4. If the values of TD and D2 are approximately equal, they are combined into a single interval, meaning 2 minutes are added to TF, and the process moves to step 2. If these values differ significantly, the calculations are halted: the forecast interval will be TF, and the predicted value will be TD.

Updated: Jan 9, 2026